What moves the foreign exchange markets?
Macro and policy dominate. Below you’ll find four highly durable drivers that you’ll see referenced in economic calendars and FX commentary all the time.
Political instability and economic performance
Political instability and poor economic performance can also influence the value of a currency. Politically stable countries with robust economic performance will usually be more appealing to foreign investors, so these countries draw investment away from countries characterised by more economic or political risk.
Furthermore, a country showing a sharp decline in economic performance could see a loss of confidence and investment, as capital moves to more economically steady countries.
Interest rates
Interest rates, inflation rates and foreign currency rates are all interconnected, and as some rise, others can fall. Central banks control the interest rate as a measure to control inflation. If a central bank wants to decrease inflation, it can increase interest rates in a bid to stop spending and lending. This generally increases the value of money in an economy, as there is less, or ‘more expensive’, money available in the economy.
On the other hand, when there is more money with less value in an economy, businesses and consumers increase spending and lending through loans and other types of credit. Sellers will then increase prices, causing inflation and a lower-valued currency. These fluctuations in currency value are one of the reasons forex traders may look to trade on interest rate announcements from central banks, like the US Federal Reserve or the Bank of England.
Terms of trade
The terms of trade for a country represent the ratio of export prices relative to import prices. If a country’s export prices rise and its import prices fall, the terms of trade have improved favourably. This increases the nation’s revenue and is followed by an increase in demand for the country’s currency. This increase in demand can cause a rise in the currency’s value.
Debts
A nation’s debt can be a large influencer in the variations of its currency price. Countries with large debts in relation to their gross domestic product (GDP) will be less attractive to foreign investors. Without foreign investments, countries can struggle to build their foreign capital, leading to higher rates of inflation and, thus, currency depreciation.
What are the benefits of CFD forex trading?
Some of the main benefits of CFD forex trading that make this asset class a popular choice among traders are:
Find out more about using leverage in forex trading.
What are the risks of CFD forex trading?
Some of the possible risks involved in CFD forex trading are:
Risk of account close out – market volatility and rapid changes in price can cause the balance of your account to change quickly, and if you do not have sufficient funds in your account to cover these situations, there is a risk that your positions will be automatically closed by the platform.
Why trade forex with CMC Markets New Zealand?
Ready to turn the theory of what forex trading is and how it works into a structured process?
Start forex trading with CMC Markets New Zealand today.